Because the Federal Reserve shifts to quantitative easing, BitMEX’s co-founder Arthur Hayes seems to be assured to wager on Bitcoin hitting $110,000 earlier than dipping to $76,500.
Arthur Hayes, BitMEX‘s co-founder, is again with one other prediction, this time saying Bitcoin (BTC) will hit $110,000 earlier than dropping to $76,500, because of the Fed’s shift from tightening to easing for treasuries.
https://twitter.com/CryptoHayes/standing/1904000755381760058
In a March 24 X post, Hayes defined that the Federal Reserve appears to be shifting from quantitative tightening to quantitative easing for treasuries, and that tariffs not matter as a result of inflation is seen as “transitory.”
Whereas it’s but to be seen whether or not Hayes’ one other prediction will play out or no, his assertion aligns with rising market expectations that the Federal Reserve will finish its QT program by Could, as data from prediction markets Polymarket just lately recorded a 100% chance that the Fed will stop QT by April 30.
Ending QT might be a giant catalyst for threat belongings like cryptocurrencies, with analysts predicting that the liquidity injected into the market may spark a brand new bull market.
Hayes has a historical past of fixing his views on the crypto market. In September 2024, he reversed a earlier forecast, acknowledging he had been incorrect about Bitcoin’s short-term path, stating in a commentary for information shops that he reserves the “proper to alter my thoughts because the scenario evolves.”
In a Feb. 25 X post, Hayes warned that Bitcoin’s value may fall as little as $70,000 if massive hedge funds unwind their positions in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. Nevertheless, lower than a month later, as market dynamics advanced, Hayes adjusted his evaluation, declaring in a March 20 X post that Bitcoin’s value had possible reached its backside at $77,000.